November 25, 2007
The
odds are that when you are choosing between 2 options, you have a 50%
chance of being correct. So the average, then, if my math (which
is hideous) is correct, is that if you have 4 football games to
predict, you should get 2 of them correct.
This is why I don’t
work in Vegas. For the 4 HHSAA State Football Semi Finals played
yesterday in Division I and II, these were my picks:
Division I Championship Game – St Louis vs Baldwin
Division II Championship Game – Kaimuki vs Kauai
Only
1 out of 4 correct. Interpretation – below average, subpar, not
up to snuff, mediocre, not ready for prime time. And
the 1 I had correct, St Louis, let’s face it, they were heavily
favored. Waianae was without their head coach, quarterback, and
best athlete.
So if you ask me…….just don’t ask me.
Aside from the obvious, your chances become significantly greater if
you go against my predictions. I’d say from 50% to 75%.
At least, that’s my prediction. What are your thoughts for the upcoming State Championship games in D-I and D-II?
Dave
dkawada@digitalsports.com